MACD: A Primer - Investopedia

Why I Think The Emphasis On "Strategy" Is So Misplaced

This is a recurring theme that's come up in people reaching out to me via DM. I'm getting asked a LOT about my 'strategy' and getting requests to review your strategies / trading plans, so I thought I'd bang out a post here as a sort of catch-all. It got to the point where I was copy / pasting the same reply to a number of people.
Strategy is really important. You definitely need a cohesive strategy or set of strategies that help determine what gets you in and out of trades. I personally run a mechanical trend-following system in addition to my discretionary style of trading. Even my discretionary style of trading however, is viewed through a framework that gives me consistent structure to follow on trade after trade.
Now that I've gotten that point out of the way, here is my next statement:* Strategy is COMPLETELY USELESS without having a thorough and expert understanding of the markets in the first place*
Here's my analogy: let's say you really want to get into the fast food business. Now let's say you're fairly smart and you realize that your best chances for success are to buy into an established franchise (McDonald's, Taco Bell, KFC, whatever). Now here's the kicker, who do you think is more likely to succeed at running this franchise? Someone who has worked within the industry their entire lives and knows it inside and out, versus someone with no industry experience. Okay, okay, that question is completely rhetorical; it's obvious who has the edge here.
Trading is no different, and it's why buying a course or finding a guru has let so many of you down so many times before. You're trying to follow an established plan (one that has in fact quite possibly brought success to whomever is selling you their wisdom), but without an expert understanding of the industry you are participating in.
If you reject my premise that knowing your shit when it comes to the macro side of things is important, that's fine. Let's take what seems to be the dominant retail route of pure technical analysis. If you don't know technical analysis inside and out, you are not setting yourself up for success when you buy a course (or even read through a free one like BabyPips). After doing a rough search for Forex courses, I haven't found any technical ones (maybe apart from Adam Grimes. I like Adam; don't know the guy personally, but know of him through colleagues) that actually teach you about technical analysis and not just are feeding you a strategy.
My entire point here is that if you don't engage with the nuts and bolts of the arena in which you're competing, you are at an inherent disadvantage. For example, I've talked to a trader that had Stochastics, RSI, AND MACD on their chart. What is the point of having 3 momentum indicators apart from enjoying a gratuitous circle jerk of redundant 'confirmation'? But this trader didn't know the math behind the indicators, what makes them similar and different, how they can be applied. If they did, then maybe they could have explained in greater detail how having those 3 gives them a defined edge.
My favourite example of a trader who 'knows their shit' is Thomas Bulkwoski. I don't like his style, but you can't deny he has done his homework. He has dived so deep into chart patterns that from memory he can quote you various failure points and success rates for individual patterns. He has meticulously studied what works and what doesn't, and can explain the WHY behind all of that.
If you don't know your shit, you will eat shit. So know your shit! Once you know your shit, then it becomes far easier to strategize.
End of rant :)
submitted by ParallaxFX to Forex [link] [comments]

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Desperate: How long to hold out / What would you do in my situation

Hey guys,
Throwaway, for obvious reasons. I'm a regular in /pf, /bitcoin and /bitcoinmarkets but I chose to make this account because my girlfriend is a redditor too and I don't want to get any backlash by posting this on my main account.
For that reason I need to obfuscate some details of my story but I think you guys will understand. I'm in a pretty bad situation and I need some advice on how to proceed.
A few years ago I became in charge of my family's finances. One of my parents passed much earlier than expected. My remaining parent didn't understand anything about finance or investing so I naturally stepped in to take over things and try to plan something for our family so that we could be financially secure for at least 10 or 15 years, enough time for me to get to a position in my career where I could take care of everyone with my own income stream.
I started learning about trading, first with Forex. I was trading EURUSD and USDJPY primarily just with small amounts at first. Spent a lot of time on babypips.com learning technical analysis and how to extract as much value as possible from chart patterns. When I started I just used small amounts of money. My initial bankroll was $500. I ended up using too much leverage and blowing through my whole account because of some poorly time trades. Yes I know I should have used some common sense and not taken gigantic risks but I was just learning at the time. I worked at it a bit and started getting profitable. I would usually do my work late at night watching charts and drinking espressos, and there were several times that I took positions that netted me large profits so I'm confident that I've learned from my early mistakes.
Then about a year and a half ago I started hearing about bitcoin, and how it was getting more valuable. I started reading about the blockchain, and this technology that is going to revolutionize the way the world thinks about money. I was excited about it, truly. I knew in my heart that this was going to be gigantic. So I took a leap. I took about half of all the cash I had in my checking account and deposited it at Mt.Gox. I didn't use any of the inheritance money, just my own from my part time job while I was a college student.
Yeah. I know. Terrible idea in hindsight. I never got the money out before the whole thing collapsed. I wish I hadn't done it, but at the same time it wasn't a great deal of money to learn a lesson. That we can't just trust individual exchanges.
Anyway, I learned a lot during that experience. I spent a lot of time analyzing charts. I learned how to use MACD and RSI indicators. I started getting good at being able to time things and on paper (of course) I was making very good profits. It's a shame that I didn't cash out before the whole thing went to shit because I probably would have enough money to last atleast a few years.
Anyway, after Gox, I became really depressed but I still believed in bitcoin. I still thought it was going to be around for a very long time so I started looking for some more honest exchanges. I knew that what happened to me was just an unfortunate event that was unlikely to happen again. After all, Gox was being run by a pretty shady group.
After I picked myself back up, I decided to deposit some of the inheritance money in some legitimate exchanges. In total we had about $300k after medical bills and other issues from the settlement of the estate. It was sitting in a checking account until about April of this year. I decided to put in $50k into two exchanges to diversify my risk exposure. Half I put into bitfinex and the other half I put into bitstamp. I spent 7 to 10 hours a day trading.
The problem is that I've been taking mostly long positions. Every time the price drops 30 to 40 dollars I have been telling myself this is it -- this is the bottom and will take a position to make up for previous losses.
I cannot understand why this is happening. I made some serious money several times but for the past 6 months or so I have taken huge losses. After the initial 50k I deposited another 50k, and then after losing much of that, and determining (wrongly, I might add, but I don't think my analysis was wrong) that we were definitely at the bottom, I went on to deposit another 125k. So far I am down a lot. My average cost per bitcoin is around $623.
The losses just keep compounding. I don't know what to do. I'm getting incredibly desperate and sallow. I don't know how I'm going to explain this to my family. They know very little about bitcoin, but I have mentioned it on occasion and how I'm an enthusiast. I've even sent my sister and cousins some bitcoin to get them started. But now I'm worried that maybe this isn't going to work out. Every day I get out of bed and dread looking at the price of bitcoin. Because I know its going to translate into losses on the positions I've taken. I have tried really hard to avoid looking at the price but at this point I cannot take it any more.
I'm just looking for a reason, any reason, to believe that things are going to get better. So far I've lost a lot of the estate money and I'll do anything to get it back. But I'm getting to the point where I feel like I might need to get to grips with reality and just cut my losses, admit to my family what I did and try to make it up to them.
So I ask of you, please convince me one way or another (with some solid reasoning) to either sell all the coins I have on margin right now or just hold fast and weather this storm.
Thanks
submitted by whattodobtc to Bitcoin [link] [comments]

Indikátor MACD - jak jej použít v MT4 Best MACD setting - YouTube MACD Indicator (It's Not Great, BUT....) - YouTube How to use the MACD Indicator on MT4 - YouTube Mastering MACD indicator for Forex Beginners (Basics ... One Of The BEST Beginner Trading Indicators (THE MACD ... The MACD indicator explained simply and understadably ... MACD Indicator MT4 Default Setup Explained - YouTube How Does The MACD Indicator Work - YouTube Understanding MACD Indicator (Moving Average Convergence ...

MACD Indicator Explained. May 5, 2015 by ucinya posted in Technical Indicators • No Comments. Definition of the MACD Indicator: The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Indicator (MACD) is both a trend –seeking and momentum indicator which uses several exponential moving averages set to closing prices to generate trading signals. As we had earlier pointed out in one of our trading ... How to Use the MACD Indicator. Partner Center Find a Broker. What is MACD? MACD is an acronym for Moving Average Convergence Divergence. This technical indicator is a tool that’s used to identify moving averages that are indicating a new trend, whether it’s bullish or bearish. After all, a top priority in trading is being able to find a trend, because that is where the most money is made ... How to use the MACD in Forex Trading. As a lagging indicator, MACD uses historical price action to generate values that will help us come up with profitable trades. Momentum indicators, in general, are best used to confirm or invalidate that a market reversal is taking place, or about to take place in the near future. In the EUR/USD daily chart below, we see the price movements heading south ... Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Indicator in Forex Explained. 29 Oct. 2020 22:37. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Indicator in Forex Explained . 2020-10-29 . 2020-10-29 . Mikhail Hypov. 2020-10-29 . 2020-10-29 Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) Indicator in Forex Explained. Mikhail Hypov. Dear friends! Today we will look at one of the most popular indicators ... Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is defined as a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security's price. The technical MACD definition includes the computation of three moving averages, but only two lines are displayed “oscillating” about a “zero” line. MACD Formula. The MACD indicator is now a common standard on most all software trading platforms. The MACD calculation involves the following computations: Trading divergence is a popular way to use the MACD histogram (which we explain below), but unfortunately, the divergence trade is not very accurate, as it fails more than it succeeds. To explore ... The Indicator . Notice how the moving averages diverge away from each other in the above chart as the strength of the momentum increases. The MACD was designed to profit from this divergence by ... MACD is one of the most reliable indicators. Although we do not believe in using any indicators more than candlesticks and Bollinger Bands in our own trading and we follow the candlesticks charting and Bollinger Bands trading strategy to find the trade setups, still we believe that MACD is a strong indicator, specially for novice traders who are used to get in and out of the markets too early. Chartanalyse MACD: Hier finden Sie die Erklärung zu dem Börsen-Begriff MACD

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Indikátor MACD - jak jej použít v MT4

MACD znamená Moving Average Convergence Divergence. V tomto videu se dozvíte, ž čeho se skládá originální MACD indikátor, jak si jej vložit do MT4 a jak ho využít, včetně toho, jak ... The MACD indicator is typically placed at the bottom of the trading chart, in a separate window, beneath the price chart. The Moving Average Convergence Dive... The MACD indicator explained simply and understadably. // MACD trading strategy, MACD histogram, MACD EMA, MACD explained, MACD strategy, MACD trading, MACD ... The MACD indicator, also known as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence Indicator is a favorite amongst Forex traders. This is not a good sign. But if yo... Understanding MACD Indicator (Moving Average Convergence-Divergence) The MACD Indicator is explained simply in this casual and informative 3 minute training ... Here are the best settings for MACD MACD indicator a.k.a Moving Average Convergence Divergence is one of the most widely used indicators in Forex trading.We all know the 2 line MACD indicator. ... Learn how to use the MACD indicator on the MT4 platform, brought to you by Investoo.com. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) is a popular trend ... Want To Trade The MOST Successful Trading Indicator? Check This Out! GET SMARTCHARTS/GET THE TRADING PLATFORM I USE: https://smartcharts2.com/youtube Get Y... Introduction to macd for beginners. If you don't know what the macd indicator is all about, i'll have the macd indicator explained to you in detail. You can ...

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